NFL playoff picture ahead of Week 10

NFL Playoff Picture Ahead of Week 10

According to PFF simulations, the Pittsburgh Steelers have a 75% chance of making the playoffs if they win in Week 10. However, this probability drops to 42% if they lose.

The playoff landscape is expected to shift throughout the remainder of the season. Therefore, it is useful to examine the projected playoff picture based on estimated chances provided by PFF for each team.

Projected Playoff Chances and Leverage

The following charts illustrate each team’s projected chances of making the playoffs, alongside the playoff leverage – how these chances would change with a win or a loss.

“According to PFF simulations, the Steelers have a 75% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 10 win, but that number drops to 42% with a loss.”

Tracking these changes helps highlight the critical importance of each upcoming game in shaping the playoffs.

Summary

The NFL playoff odds are fluid, with teams’ chances heavily influenced by the results of Week 10 and beyond, as shown by PFF's projections and playoff leverage metrics.

Author's summary: PFF’s data shows how pivotal Week 10 is for playoff chances, emphasizing how wins or losses dramatically alter teams’ postseason prospects.

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PFF PFF — 2025-11-05